Phantasmal Flames Pokémon TCG Pull Rates Updated November 25, 2025 – Over 10,000 Packs Analyzed for Accurate Odds!
Searching for the most reliable Phantasmal Flames pull rates? You've landed on the definitive guide! Released on November 14, 2025, Pokémon TCG Phantasmal Flames (ME02) has collectors buzzing with its Mega Evolution ex cards, stunning Special Illustration Rares (SIRs), and fiery themes. But are the Phantasmal Flames pull rates a blazing success or a ghostly disappointment? We've compiled data from TCGPlayer's official 5,000-pack analysis, plus thousands more from YouTube openings, Reddit community rips, and real-time X (formerly Twitter) showcases—totaling over 10,000 packs analyzed—to give you the freshest Phantasmal Flames Pokémon TCG pull rates for 2025. Key highlights: Double Rares (DRs) hit every 5 packs for budget deck building, SIRs at 1/80 packs outperform prior Mega sets, but that elusive Mega Hyper Rare (MHR) Mega Charizard X ex drops only 1/1,260 packs—true chase territory. Whether you're cracking Booster Boxes, Elite Trainer Boxes (ETBs), or Booster Bundles, this in-depth Phantasmal Flames pull rates breakdown reveals the hits (abundant mid-tier cards) and misses (stingy ultra-rares).
How We Calculated These Phantasmal Flames Pull Rates: Methodology & Sources
To ensure accuracy in our Phantasmal Flames pull rates analysis, we didn't rely on small samples. TCGPlayer's post-launch dataset from over 5,000 booster packs forms the core, providing statistical confidence intervals (e.g., ±0.75% for Ultra Rares). We expanded this by aggregating community data: YouTube channels ripping 6,000+ packs, Reddit threads with user-submitted tallies (e.g., r/PokeInvesting's 500-pack breakdowns), and fresh X posts sharing live openings—pushing our total to over 10,000 packs analyzed. This multi-source approach minimizes variance, offering a real-world view of Phantasmal Flames Pokémon TCG pull rates. Note: All data reflects raw, unsearched packs from Booster Boxes, ETBs, and other sealed products—your mileage may vary due to random distribution.
Official Phantasmal Flames Pull Rates: Per-Pack Odds & Breakdown (10k+ Packs Sample)
Diving into the heart of Phantasmal Flames pull rates, each booster pack contains 10 cards + 1 Basic Energy + 1 Pokémon TCG Live code, with slots dedicated to rarities. Here's the detailed Phantasmal Flames booster pack odds, sourced from our aggregated dataset—perfect for planning your rips or calculating odds on that Mega Charizard chase.
| Rarity | Pull Rate | 1 in X Packs | Notes & Average Value (NM) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | 100% | 1/1 | Guaranteed in every pack; values $0.50–$2 for staples like trainers. |
| Double Rare (Pokémon ex) | 20.1% ±1.2% | 1/5 | Budget meta winners like Rotom ex or Oricorio ex; avg $3–$5. |
| Rare | ~30% | 1/3.3 | Basic filler cards; low resale, under $1. |
| Ultra Rare (Full Art ex/Trainer) | 8.06% ±0.75% | 1/12 | 17 URs including FA Mega Charizard X ex #109; avg $5–$20, specific cards 1/211. |
| Illustration Rare (IR) | 10.97% ±0.86% | 1/9 | 13 IRs like #095 Ludicolo or #100 Zacian; beautiful art, $8–$30 avg, specific 1/118. |
| Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | 1.25% ±0.22% | 1/80 | 5 SIRs (#125–129) such as Dawn #129 or Mega Charizard X ex #125; chase kings, $100–$780+, specific 1/400. |
| Mega Hyper Rare (MHR/Gold) | 0.079% ±0.03% | 1/1,260 | Sole #130 Mega Charizard X ex; ultra-chase, $500–$600+. |
Phantasmal Flames Pull Rates Key Insights: Hits include a flood of DRs and IRs (expect 11+ solid cards per Booster Box), making it collector-friendly for mid-tier gems. Misses? Sparse SIRs (0.45 per box) and MHRs (0.028 per box) drive up singles prices—variance is real, as X users report "0 SIRs in 150 packs" while others hit "multiple in a case." Compared to Mega Evolution 01 (SIRs 1/85), Phantasmal Flames pull rates are slightly better for SIRs, but stable overall—no "god pack" inflation like Prismatic Evolutions.
Phantasmal Flames EV Breakdown: Booster Box, ETB, Bundle & UPC (Current Market Prices)
Wondering about Phantasmal Flames EV (expected value)? Using November 25, 2025 TCGPlayer near-mint prices and our 10,000+ packs pull rates data, we've crunched the numbers for popular sealed products. Early EV hovers at ~1.4x MSRP, but Black Friday deals could boost it—rip for enjoyment, hold for potential flips.
| Product | Packs | Avg Hits Per Product | Est. EV (Raw NM) | MSRP | EV Multiple | Rip or Hold Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Box | 36 | 7 DR + 3 UR + 4 IR + 0.45 SIR + 0.028 MHR | $210–$260 | $144–$162 | 1.4–1.7x | Hold—prices up 20% week 1; great for investors. |
| Elite Trainer Box (ETB) | 9 (11 in Pokémon Center) | 1.8 DR + 0.75 UR + 1 IR + 0.11 SIR | $55–$75 (+$15 for Charcadet promo/sleeves) | $50–$60 | 1.3x | Rip—accessories add value; ideal for beginners. |
| Booster Bundle | 6 | 1.2 DR + 0.5 UR + 0.67 IR | $35–$45 | $30 | 1.3x | Budget Rip—affordable entry for casual pulls. |
| Ultra Premium Collection (UPC) | 8–10 | 2–3 hits + Oricorio ex SIR promo | $80–$120 (+$30 for promo/playmat) | ~$50 | 2x+ | Chase—high EV from exclusives like Mega Charizard UPC. |
Phantasmal Flames EV Calculation Notes: Based on avg values (DR $4, UR $10, IR $15, SIR $100–$780, MHR $500–$600); commons/uncommons under $1. Factor in variance—X rips show "god packs" with multiple SIRs boosting EV, but dry spells drag it down. Compared to Surging Sparks (EV ~1.2x), Phantasmal Flames pull rates offer better affordability for playable cards.
Phantasmal Flames Pull Rates vs. Other Pokémon TCG 2025 Sets: Better or Worse?
How do Phantasmal Flames pull rates stack up against 2025 peers? We've compared to key Scarlet & Violet-era sets for context—small set size (130 cards) gives Phantasmal Flames an edge in consistency.
| Set | SIR Pull Rate | IR Pull Rate | UR Pull Rate | DR Pull Rate | Key Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phantasmal Flames | 1/80 | 1/9 | 1/12 | 1/5 | Small set boosts mids; Mega chases sting but rewarding. |
| Mega Evolution 01 | 1/85 | 1/9 | 1/12 | 1/5 | Slightly tougher SIRs; similar structure. |
| Surging Sparks | 1/72 | 1/10 | 1/13 | 1/5 | Pikachu flood; easier SIRs but diluted. |
| Prismatic Evolutions | 1/45* | 1/8 | 1/11 | 1/4 | *God packs inflate; high variance. |
| Journey Together | N/A | 1/12 | 1/15 | 1/5 | Focus on IRs; lower UR hits. |
Verdict on Phantasmal Flames Pull Rates: Hits for balanced affordability in a compact set—ideal for deck builders chasing DRs/IRs. Misses on MHR scarcity (expect 35+ boxes for gold Charizard), echoing complaints in Mega Evolution. Better than Prismatic's "god pack" hype but no 2023-level generosity.
Real Phantasmal Flames Openings: Community Pull Stories from X, Reddit & YouTube
Beyond stats, real Phantasmal Flames pull rates shine in user stories. From our X search and Reddit dives, here's a snapshot of over 10,000 packs in action—variance is the name of the game!
- God Pack Glory: One X user ripped a 216-pack case yielding "multiple SIRs + gold," aligning with 1/80 odds but beating averages.
- Box Banger: "SIR Rotom ex + 2 IRs in 36 packs"—solid mid-tier hits, per PokeHEX's 538-pack tally (2 golds, 0 Charizard SIR).
- ETB Lucky Strike: "Charcadet promo + UR Mega Gengar ex"—common for 9-pack ETBs.
- Dry Spell Drama: Reddit reports "0 SIRs in 150 packs," while another hit "Mega Sharpedo SIR but no Charizard"—highlighting Phantasmal Flames pull rates variance.
- YouTube Mass Openings: Channels like PokeBruvs note "guaranteed hits in Japanese versions," but English Phantasmal Flames pull rates feel "nerfed" for ultras.
Pro Tip for Phantasmal Flames Pull Rates: Track your own with our free Phantasmal Flames Checklist PDF—includes checkboxes and rarities for master set building.
Tips to Maximize Your Phantasmal Flames Pulls: Strategies for Better Odds
Struggling with Phantasmal Flames pull rates? Here's expert advice to tilt the odds:
- Buy Singles Over Packs: With SIRs at 1/80, chase cards like Mega Charizard X ex SIR ($780+) are cheaper via TCGPlayer—skip the gamble.
- Target Sealed Products Wisely: Booster Boxes for volume (7+ DRs); ETBs for promos/accessories boosting EV.
- Hunt Restocks: Black Friday dips on Amazon/Target juice Phantasmal Flames EV—monitor for MSRP deals.
- Community Hacks: Join Reddit r/PokeInvesting for shared pull data; X threads reveal "hot cases."
- Protect & Grade: Use TCG Protectors' sleeves to keep hits mint—PSA 10s multiply value.
Is Phantasmal Flames Worth Ripping in 2025? Final Verdict on Pull Rates
In summary, Phantasmal Flames pull rates deliver hits with abundant DRs/IRs (EV-positive for casuals and deck builders) and better SIR odds than Mega Evolution 01, but misses on MHR droughts fueling $500+ singles. For Pokémon TCG 2025, it's a solid set for fun rips—rip Bundles/ETBs for immediate thrills, hold Booster Boxes for investment (up 20% post-launch).
Protect Your Phantasmal Flames Pulls: Grab sleeves and toploaders—shop TCG Protectors now for double-sleeving pros! Bookmark this Phantasmal Flames pull rates guide for updates. What's your best pull? Share in comments! 🚀
Phantasmal Flames Pull Rates FAQ
- What are the exact Phantasmal Flames SIR pull rates? 1/80 for any SIR, 1/400 for specifics like Mega Charizard X ex.
- How many packs for a Mega Hyper Rare in Phantasmal Flames? About 1,260—35 Booster Boxes on average.
- Are Phantasmal Flames pull rates better than Prismatic Evolutions? Yes for consistency, no for god packs.
- What's the EV for a Phantasmal Flames Booster Box? $210–$260 raw, 1.4–1.7x MSRP.
- Where to buy Phantasmal Flames with best pull potential? Sealed from TCGPlayer or Amazon for authenticity.
For more on Phantasmal Flames Pokémon TCG pull rates, explore our full set guide or sealed product breakdowns!
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